Table ranked by place strike rate. Simplified Class Based Ratings - Today's Racing Digest A similar race at Turf Paradise is rated at 130. Kids begin to get serious about the game in high school. You should look out for a horse who has been dropped in class as it means that they will invariably be contesting against weaker horses. This can be risky. This applies to a horse that hasnt won in its last 10 races. Thats an amazing statistic with He is listed as xB. A horse making it's first ever race course debut will have Flat Runs of 0. Cards, Search This website assumes no responsibility for the actions by and makes no Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Trainer SO I DOUBLE UP ON THIS PRICE IF AVAILABLE AT POST TIME OR IF THE MORNING LINE WAS ABOUT 9/2 AND THE POST IS NOT THE FAR OUTSIDE. These are the types of races where the class levels are most obvious (though not always so when considering the restrictions involved in some claiming races) as opposed to some of the other categories of races. We at UK Horse Racing think not. The Accuracy View stats for trainer and jockey combinations, hot and cold trainers, horses changing in class and much more. 8. Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Jockey Sometimes trainers will try to steal a race by running a horse for a claiming tag that is way lower than what the horse is actually worth. involved. If a horse has been struggling at a certain claiming level, the trainer and owner may wish to drop to a lower price. Lets say a horse achieved its only win in a Maiden Claiming Race for $20,000. Learning to spot one of these class angles is sometimes all the handicapping you need to pick a winner. Any horse that drops suspiciously in. The term "classy" is most often applied to horses who run winning races in the higher purse levels at the track, or circuit where they compete - but that doesn't really help. Another option: Try BETUS! Handicappers, Well ?--or is this available in november? Its perfectly logical to state that a horse dropping in class may have an advantage over its competitors who are not. Copyright 2023 US Racing, All Rights Reserved. Zozos will be their first Kentucky Derby entry after . It doesnt take a Pittsburgh Phil to figure out that Tribal Jewel was the best horse in this race, but is he the best horse now on Jan. 6? Gem Song Suspicious Drop in Class today. Theres problems with this horse and we want to get rid of it (even so often while also trying to grab one last purse). What is class? And how to tell if a horse is rising/dropping? Stats for combination runs. 1] FIND ALL HORSES WHOSE DROPPING IN CLASS [2CD] RACE BACK TO THE LAST RACE [[AND]] TODAYS CLASS IS LOWER OR EQUAL TO THE CLASS OF THE LAST RACE. admin@UKHorseRacing.co.uk, Introduction Run, BetTurtle Horse Class drops are most frequently noted in claiming races. Your email address will not be published. In most cases, their odds line is accurate in determining the race favorite. Stats, One Ride If we want to overcome the track takeout and be successful in our wagering, we need to attack Click here to visit Ignition Casino! 2022 Kentucky Derby horses, top contenders, odds, date: Expert who Required fields are marked *, The welfare of humanity is always the alibi of tyrants. Albert Camus, The first panacea for a mismanaged nation is inflation of the currency; the second is war. Check our Bovada racebook review, Twinspires review or even our Betamerica review. The favorite must have at least tactical Required fields are marked *. Sometimes we tend to overlook the obvious. I've found that when horses drop down several classes in one fell swoop, more often than not, the drop down isn't big enough. Only horses with at least 5 runs and at least 1 place included. main clue is the program and the morning line. Many punters like to follow and bet on horses who have been dropped in class. Days Race Level If a horse is dramatically dropping in class Knowing about Street Shark's performance exiting the July 23 race, I could not possibly understand why the horse that beat him was suddenly be dropped in class. (This data does not include; how many up-in-class horses were in these races (perhaps some of them contained no class risers), how many last-race winners there were, how many droppers lost, how many low odds droppers won - etc. Reading The Ratings The trainer decides that a class drop is in order and enters the horse in a $10,000 race. time or speed doesn.t matter may the horse be with vince the prince does anybody ever hear of ben gateman write systems for g.e. Can help identify horses that may improve. Wt You can use these advanced figures to determine if a stat has a sufficient sample and is reliable. Fame, Betting your disposal. Very informative from all of you folks, but I wouldnt expect much less from the people Gary keeps company with. DAVE HENRY If the trainer doesn't have enough confidence in the horse to keep trying at the higher level races pay . There have been numerous good horse handicapping writers that have proposed various theories and ideas on this question. d) First condition allowance races where all the horses have showed they can not win at 100.00%. A horse is moving down in class (or dropping) in reverse circumstances, such as allowance to claiming or graded to restricted stakes. What is total aggregate distances at Lingfield today? Flat Runs will then indicate how many runs they had on flat turf. Claiming races are those in which the horses entered are for sale. Table ranked by earnings per start. Stats, Jockey National Hunt I prefer AW onlyis there a subscription for this. Theoretically, it will now be facing horses closer to its own skill level. Stats, Tipping Hall of Horses which won last time out on either flat turf or all weather surface. Which is the Royal Racecourse: Ascot, Newmarket, York ? The Horses Dropped in Class Tomorrow The question to ask yourself is has this horse recently been competitive at todays class level and if not have they ever been competitive at this level? type. More Racing StatsFlatStats has dozens of stats for you to view such as stats for first time geldings, change of trainer, sires on soft ground and much more. No Recent Victories No jumps or overseas figures used. In this instance an 'x' is listed next to the item worn. With claiming races, its not always about identifying the best horse (actually, thats rarely true of any race the odds always matter but you get the picture). Race Competition Level (RCL) for Past Performances. View stats tables for today's horse racing meetings at Lingfield and Newcastle. Elevated. Horse Racing Stats for 3rd Mar 2023 - All Meetings - FlatStats If you have a horse who drops, you'll know what I'm talking about! There are many tables on this page but each of them are useful for analysing today's races from a stats point of view. a) Claimers, non-winners of two lifetime. e.g. Any horse that drops suspiciously in The same goes for a dirt horse trying the grass for the first time and viceversa. The higher the number, the stronger the race. Musselburgh 13:50. The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. away from the post-time favorite as much as possible. Horses rarely win from the back of the pack. You can do this by clicking on the sires name on the racecard and looking at his A/E stat at Southwell. As an example, a non-winners-of-two Allowance races for older males at Santa Anita would carry a class rating of 155. I often have found class drop winners from trainers on the NYRA circuit moving into MCl or Never this Low for the first time. If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? I want find records of historical winning SP to class of of race rating - Flat & NH do you have these ? A class drop is always an important factor in handicapping a race. Travellers, In Form Trainer You can do extensive research, and compile the data that will allow you to delineate claiming ladders, and categories using average pace ratings or pars. ]]IN THE LAST RACE ARE CLOSER TO THE WINNER THEN THE 2CD LAST RACE BACKITS A CONTENDER . You can devise your own angles to bet class at your favorite online racebook. It has managed to finish second and third a number of times but cannot seem to manage a win. Below areraces fromthis past Sunday, July 22. Connections suddenly willing to acknowledge their horse is worth less money than it was last time it raced are giving a signal that, in general,says one of two things; Were now seriously after the purse winnings in todays race, or. The line maker, employed by the track, is a savvy Advertising on UK Horse Racing. Never take a short price on an considerable variables involved when trying to decide the outcome of a horse race. FlatStats subscribers can save the settings so that the same parameters are used each time the page page is viewed. The two races are of completely different classes. Now of course, there are almost always more than one class dropper in a race, so this factor wont just give you the winner, but it will sure help you to focus on the most likely contenders in these claiming type races. The game revolves around money in every regard. In , By Ray Wallin Just about 90% of people fail to reach their strategic goals. Ratio of sires All Weather A/E to Turf A/E. A horse that can only run a half-mile in :48 seconds is unlikely to ever beat a horse that can run the same distance in :44 seconds. Stats, All Green Today's Grade Droppers Biggest drop in prize money from last start Horse Name Race Details Drop in $ Drop in % 4. strictly prohibited. Only horses who have earned win or place prize money on this surface included. The same principle holds true in horse racing. Table ranked by number of days since last win. Because we look at the participants and not the labelling. It has When using your system builder is it currently possible to see past results from these?? Distance wins are from both all weather and turf. Stats, Jockey Flat Just like other athletes, these horses have different skill levels. Ratings, Course Stats By Stats, Trainer Flat Favourite Stats, Jockey All Weather Longest Travellers Horse Racing Today - Tomorrows Horses Travelled the Whether it be from DSLD/ESPA or injury, these techniques presented will make your horse more comfortable and happy. Horses Dropped in Class Today Here is the full list of racehorses' who are running today and have been Dropped in Class. But the same race conditions at Golden Gate Fields would be rated at 145. IVE STUDIED OVER >>500 OF THESE TYPES RACES,,,,,, If today's race is on turf then only the jockey and trainer combination turf stats are shown. NEWS.. -. 9 Theoretically, it will now be facing horses closer to its own skill level. Unlike horses that werent claimed last out, good form is not necessarily a positive for runners sporting a new owner. suspicious class drops Archives - A Game of Skill Jockey, Horse Stats By Race Win Rate: 17.5%. 35 of them were won by class droppers (by the simple definition given earlier) = 54.7% 18 were won by horses staying at the same class level = 28.1% Only 7 were won by horses rising in class = 10.9% Trainer, Course Stats By [[DOESNT SAY WHAT TO DO ON DISTANCE SWITCHES IN THOSE RACES? Age If they are good players, perhaps they make it to a college team. How to Figure Horses Dropping in Class After Being Claimed The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. Betting Gods might be something worth checking out, 2013 - 2023 EzHorseBetting.com. and is ready to compete. given date. To find out more about horse racing stats such as: number of winners, strike rates, and profit please read our Horse Racing Stats Guide. One who wins 8% of their starts or less within the last year defines a losing trainer. Betting Class in Horse Racing 2022 - Ez Horse Betting A horse with this type of "form" should clearly be stepped up in class, or at an absolute minimum, kept at the same level. Advanced will also show Expected Wins (SRI) and Archie (chi-squared) statistical figures. etc..). This is a class drop. UK Horse Racing :: The Ratings Changers, Good Performers Last US Racing is not a racebook or ADW, and does not accept or place wagers of any the races where the favorite is going to get beat. someplace i long for a 6 or 8 for w.o. This hidden class drop was obviously missed by the bettors, as Bella Campari was sent to post at odds of 9-1 and won easily! Differentials Impact Breaking news, expert analysis and handicapping reports to help you win at the track. Horse SP, 1999-2019 UK Horse Racing coming off a layoff. Movers, 1st Time I'm going to look at class (and class drops) in claiming races in the simplest way possible. website is for entertainment purposes only. This is why one can get the interesting situation of a horse running in Class C race and is dropping is class from the Class D race last week. For it is my opinion that such drops are not as easy toassess as they were in the past. Jump By developing products like BetTurtle, our goal is to make horse racing more rewarding for our customers. Should You Drop A Class? Does It Look Bad? Why? - PrepScholar That was declared to be a poorer Derby than of recent years but it was still a Class A declared event. Alm Basic will show standard stats figures such as wins, runs, strike rate, A/E and profit. Class Changers. At Turfdom, we have come up with a number of proven rules to Favourite Stats, Trainer National Hunt I consider races where a horse is being protected to usually contain a "classier" field than races where they are not protected. Recently, on the Homeless Handicappers Facebook page, a member asked about a horse named Tribal Jewel, who had been claimed for $16,000 at Del Mar on Nov. 25 and was subsequently entered for an $8,000 tag at Santa Anita on Jan. 6. 03-09-2013, 02:24 PM. Runners, One Runner Click the Reset Button to clear existing filters. Todays Racing Digest race sheets makes handicapping class easy by using a simple number system assigned to a certain type of race that represents its position relative to other races. Please confirm Take a peek at the digits on horses that finished in the money (third or better) and were claimed in their last race: Number: 10,350. Frm In the Race Information description at the top of each page we describe how we calculate the class of a race. Jockey, Jockey All Weather If you follow the punters which read the classification of the event as being the indication of class then it has dropped in class. either of its last two races is a vulnerable favorite. Horse Handicapping: Finding and Betting Class Drops - horseracinggold.com Fame, Betting e.g.To find the best Trainer and Jockey combination today click All MeetingsIf there are meetings on turf and all weather and you want to find the best combination on turf click Turf MeetingsIf you want to find the best combination at a specific meeting then click the name of the RacecourseIf you want to find the best combination in a specific race click the Race Time. "What do you guys and gals do when you see this?" Course Stats, Latest Are there any easy-to-spot signs that make a suspicious drop in class following a claim, well, suspicious? With this simplified class rating system you will now clearly understand if a move up or drop in class for a horse in todays race is a big jump and how that compares to other horses in the field allowing you to you quickly and easily determine if the horse is a contender at todays race class level. Race / Meeting FilterYou can filter this page to show the stats for the whole day, turf or all weather meetings, a specific meeting or race time. Favourite Stats, Jockey National Hunt Beyer #s and recent success, have become so over used that prices have become surpressed over the last few decades. Horse Racing Grade Droppers - Free List of Horses Dropping in Grade First - this horse handicapping article will not go into depth on the theory of "class" and what it is, or how to define it. The new numbers classification is less informative as it only has 7 classes. This is called the Click here to visit Cafe Casino! The reason for that is that these horses are competing with weaker horses (even though in a handicap race they may have to carry more weight). Read through all the free materials on this site - then check out: our products . Each stat is displayed in a table and shows the name, profit, or ROI% of the stat. FCP% A good rule of thumb is to assign a preliminary class rating of half the value of the horses sole win. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Trainer race. For instance, a Grade I Stakes race for older males is always a 210, a $32,000 claimer for older fillies and mares is always 140. The Class-Drop Factor | horsebettingsuccess.com We support responsible gambling, so in case you require information about gambling addiction or need support please use the link BeGambleAware. Read reviews by other subscribers or leave your own review on. b) Open claiming races where no entry in the field has ever won for this claiming price Stats, All Green Heres an example of how a class drop in claiming races works. However, how do we know when that situation The times to play these horses are when the odds are acceptable to offset the risk Stats, Trainer The reality of the situation though is often puzzling. ineffective conditioner. In horse racing these skill levels are known as class. For the most part, each class receives a number that remains constant. Not taking odds and favoritism into account as a quick over-all stat class droppers win almost three times as many races as class risers! (R) means that the jockey did not ride the horse LTO and thus is a returning jockey. Sample / ConfidenceIf advanced info is selected you can filter out stats with either low sample sizes or low statistical relevance. If a horse is wearing Blinkers for the second time it may have worn other head gear previously. representation or endorsement of any activities offered by any reviewed racebook or ADW. Thats the way trainer Brian Lynch is , By Richard Rosenblatt Hes a Hall of Famer, and one of the most well-respected trainers in the business ever. Code, Trainer Horse These races make up the majority of races at any race track on a given day. Has the party dropped in class or has it stayed the same? Only horses who have earned win or place prize money on this surface included. So, would you say that that race had the same class or lower than other years? With the As a whole, horses that were claimed in their last race, performed as follows: Number: 16,671 Winners: 2,777 Win Rate: 16.7% $2 Return (ROI): $1.59 (-20.57%). To easily determine if a horse has ever been competitive at todays current class level the Digest gives you the highest class level each horse has been proven effective (2-year -old races are not considered). Handicapped, Class An interesting twist to the class drop is one that Ive noticed, but never kept any records. Stats for combination runs on this code only. Take, for example, Bella Campari, who was haltered for $5,000 in a race featuring a $28,000 purse on Oct. 9, 2016, and was running for a $7,500 tag and $20,000 purse three weeks later. Note that AW will include both Fibresand and Polytrack results. Winners: 1,815. That was 18 races at 4 tracks. Why Do Some Horses Drop Their Penis When Training? - YouTube Those stats are eye-popping. Absolutely amazing site, only wish I could afford the full subscription. 7. View stats tables for today's horse racing meetings at Lingfield and Wolverhampton. Horses dropping in class at today's races. Lets take American football as an example. But both are the refuge of political and economic opportunists. Ernest Hemingway, The whole idea of government is to give the few a way to exploit the many. Bill Bonner, Meditation is simply a question of being, of melting, like a piece of butter left in the sun. -Sogyal Rinpoche, America has gazed into the abyss and apparently decided to sign a lease and move in. James Howard Kuntsler, I play to win and if it looks like Ive lost, its only because its not over yet. Kiera Dellacroix, The Melborne Cup: The Race That Destroys the Favorites, The game revolves around money in every regard. Today, the class drop may be enough to help the horse achieve a win. Results: There were 64 double-digit winners during this one week's span at these tracks. BetTurtle - Horses Dropping In Class 9. A dropped head is a sign your horse is relaxed and feeling good, and his ears will often hang to the side as well. Jockey, Horse Stats By Race Cards, Search Here are the filters * we use that help us find the list of horses that on average will provide 80% of the winners each day.. Today's The question will invariably be posed, how do you evaluate a graduate in terms of class. HERES HOW IT GOES ;; You can determine the relationship between any class levels using the RCL; its that easy. Arrived at your site by accident and found it one of the most informative and interesting racing sites, well done. Betting class will also help you to eliminate horses from contention. The best of the best wind up in the National Football League. No Speed Think for just a second about how human athletes compete in sports. Saddled by a Losing Trainer Horse Handicapping Articles (click to view/read) Making a Betting Line Success And Luck Turn Time - the hidden fraction Track Specific Spot Plays Flat Runs includes runs from both flat turf and all weather. By Noel Michaels The leading riders at the New York winter meet at Aqueduct are Dylan Davis, Trevor McCarthy, Kendrick Carmouche, and Manny Franco. Figures from flat turf and all weather. Past Class can be found in the race header in column 13 titled Past Class. Why Should You Look at Horses Who are Dropped in Class. You can also view tables for horses that have the highest earnings, that are changing in class and even a list of all horses carrying a penalty today. 50% free bets up to $250 5% cash back. Login; Register; Help; HOME RACES Today's . Toss it. Maidens & Koulds Results, Course W-R figures obtained from flat turf and all weather runs. ALSO I TEND ELIMINATE A HORSE WHO QUIT EVERY RACE IN THE FORM PLUS A VERY BAD POST OUTSIDE. Join now for as little as 94p a day with a three month subscription, or try us for a week for just a tenner. The statistics on class-droppers are surprising, and show just how important this factor can be . IT PAID $96.00 AND ANOTHER I REMEMBER FOR $76.00 BUT THE AVERAGE IS ALSO THERE WAS NO DATE RULE TO THIS SYSTEM SO YOU CAN MAYBE FACTOR THAN IN OR NOT. Figures from flat turf and all weather. However, if its first race back has been stressful (dueled with We are a team of passionate racing enthusiasts and IT experts with a belief that studying horse racing form is too hard and time consuming for most people. There are literally thousands of horses that race each day in America and abroad. We would say that it was lower. For Latest News Visit Our Facebook . For that reason, many punters like to bet on horses who have dropped in class. been proven, year after year that favorites lose 67% of the time. Fearless Knight: Sunshine Coast Race 4: $1,970,000: 6,567%: 1. track take-out being anywhere from 16 to 25%, depending on the type of wager, you must stay You can view stats such as trainer and jockey combinations, changes in trainer, penalty carriers, quick returners, class changers and much more. types of races) 80% of the time. The two races are of completely different classes. Runs Stats, Tipping Hall of 3. . Posted by ginag2 on Jul 24, 2012 in Blog | 7 comments. Please email me with any questions at cv. Suspicious class drops [Archive] - Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage today and looks too good to be true, it probably is. proposition. I used to call it the second drop. Koulds Scoring And look at what happens when those same horses compete for a purse less than half of what it was in their last race: Number: 122 Winners: 28 Win Rate: 23.0% $2 Return (ROI): $1.15 (-42.25%). 1 in Kentucky Derby Top 10. CSV Fields, The Differentials The desire to run and compete is inherent but it is not always enough. Only claiming, optional claiming, and maiden claining races considered withthe stipulation that maiden claiming races with more than 1 first-time-starter, or1 first time starter with final odds or morning line odds of 4-1 or lower will be passed. 3. Finding that vulnerable Sire must have had 10 wins on AW to be included. Joanne & Larry Ross 6100 Aumsville Hwy SE Salem, OR 97317 Home: 503-585-3100 Cell: 503-580-6827 Easy to grasp the concept, but so obvious that it is often overlooked, or under-valued in relation to other more esoteric factors to be considered in a race. Allowing for the draw bias, visualise the running of the race. Raw Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. Stats, Trainer National Hunt Horses running for the same or higher tag as last time (when they were claimed) that are running for a lesser purse today outperform recent claims as a whole. To find out, I consulted my racing database and heres what I found. Needless to say, there is not a consensus on the subject. We don't use the BHB classifications as this is nothing but a wish on behalf of the BHB on they would want the line-up of the race to be.