Then it smashed that record. Farmers' Almanac predicting extreme winter forecast for most of US The forecast for precipitation is a 45% chance that they will be above normal and a 22% chance that they will end up below normal. Arizona weather in February 2024 | Arizona 14 day weather Meanwhile, the Southwest and much of the Rockies are most likely to see December end up warmer than usual. The average monthly low temperature of 72.4 established a new monthly record, eclipsing the old record of 72.3 from 2018. The Tucson International airport, the official recording location in Tucson, recorded 4.94" which ranks as the 46th driest monsoon on record. Dallas Area Storms Cause Power Transformer To Explode, Cold Or Flu? With record to near-record heat blistering Colorado on Monday, you might think the smoke in the air is from a Colorado wildfire. Long-Range Weather Forecast for 2022 | The Old Farmer's Almanac If it says liked, dont hit it because thats unfollowing and you wont get updates at AZWF page on your feed. In northern Arizona, its snowy and chilly, though usually still quite dry. Expect a few rainy days but usually not more than 3. HOME > Outlook Maps >Seasonal Forecast Discussion. Colder weather is predicted to come in between Nov. 16 and 19 and settle in for good come Nov. 24 to 27. MAIN WEBSITE: Dont forget. United States and Canada 2022 Winter Outlook Predictions - global All NOAA. The La Nia weather phenomenon is expected to extend through winter for the third year in a row, bringing below-average rain and snow and above-average temperatures. Extended Winter Forecast for 2022-2023 - Farmers' Almanac including sunrise/sunset and moon phases. One of the strongest thunderstorms of the month hit the airport on the evening of the 23rd with a wind gust of 76 mph. The water year is well below normal since October 1st at 2.03" which ranks as the 8th driest water year to date with four months left in the water year calendar. RELATED: La Nina is here and it's not good news for Arizona's drought, The Official NOAA Winter Outlook for 2022-2023 has been released and as of right now the odds are slightly tilted towards below normal precipitation and above normal temperatures for the desert southwest. On average, there are 1 rainy days in Arizona during January. The weather in Arizona in January is good. This fall, the almanac forecasted lower-than-usual temperatures across the United States, with cold temperatures taking over for good in late November. Our forecasts are not direct predictions of rain/snow. Toggle navigation. The MAIN PAGE of this website has every alert/article issued at current. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely from 0.10" to 0.75 ". This is the first time since March 1973 that every daily high temperature of a month was cooler than what occurred one year earlier. The newest edition of the 230-year-old series projects the 2021-22 winter as a particularly cold one, dubbing it the "season of shivers." The almanac's editor, Janice Stillman, says it could even . Arizona Weather in Tucson Weather in Tucson in December 2022 Tucson Weather Forecast for December 2022 is based on statistical data. Click on the images below for larger view. video. Here was the tweet the office issued. The recently released NOAA U.S. Winter Outlook made the predictions Thursday, bringing the news that widespread extreme drought is expected to persist throughout the West. NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022; Local Programs. Officially the Tucson International airport recorded 1.82", which is around eight-tenths of an inch below normal and ranks as the 48th driest Winter season on record. By contrast, much of the southern third of the nation from the Southwest into the Southern Plains, Southeast and Florida is expected to have a warmer-than-average January. Here are some temperature highlights for the month: The monthly average temperature of 61.7 is two-tenths of a degree below normal and ranks as the 24th warmest March on record, tied with 2019. FORECAST: Rain and snow to start 2022! - KNXV 2022 monsoon season in Arizona expected to be above-normal - good news The forecast panned out well for precipitation as it was drier than normal while February came in cooler than normal thanks to the average monthly low temperature being 4.7 below normal. . Get the latest articles, videos, and news about Washington State on Flipboard. Youll definitely want to check out some of our favorite winter towns in Arizona to get some ideas. No matter which part of Arizona youre from (or plan to visit), winter is a great time to arrive. Gilbert teen's dream comes true as he takes the field, Suspected drunk driver dies after crashing into Tempe bus stop, police say, Wet weather forces SRP to release water from Bartlett Dam, La Nina is here and it's not good news for Arizona's drought, Heat-related deaths hit historic high in 2021. Rainfall amounts were mostly between 0.25" and 0.75". The possibilities are all there you just need to discover them. Winter- It's Coming! A generally colder than usual winter is expected in the northern tier of states. It's also the ninth time February this century that the average monthly temperature was below normal. The monthly average temperature of 84.7 is just under 2 above normal and ranks as the 4th warmest September on record, tied with 2010. There are indications that weak cutoff systems under the raging jet could bring more precipitation to Tucson than say even Phoenix, but the amount just doesnt look so high, but bears watching for that area sometime mid-month. Blistering, Record-Breaking Heat Lytton, B.C. Gone are the ridiculously hot days, replaced with pleasant, mild ones perfect for hitting the trails in places you generally shouldnt hike in the summer (Phoenix comes to mind). The 2022-2023 U.S. Winter Outlook map for precipitation shows wetter-than-average conditions are most likely in western Alaska, the Pacific Northwest, northern Rockies, Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. Meanwhile, the southern U.S. is expected to have a warmer than usual winter. Search. Even as we swelter through the last stretch of summer's "dog days," the upcoming winter outlooks for the 2022-2023 season from the Farmers' Almanac and The Old Farmer's Almanac are enough to send shivers down one's spine. The drought classification for the area stood at D2 (Severe Drought). Long-Range Weather Forecast for 2022 | The Old Farmer's Almanac The only significant difference between this winter's outlook and the outlook for 2020-21 is that the chance of above-normal temperature is about 5-10% less than it was last winter, likely the result of somewhat higher above-normal temperature thresholds due to the change in long-term averages described above. Free Long Range Weather Forecast for Flagstaff, Arizona. National Weather Service If youre planning to visit Arizona in the near future, we highly recommend that you review the 14 day weather forecast for Arizona before you arrive. La Nia refers to cooler-than-normal sea surface temperatures in the central and east-central Pacific Ocean, near the equator. We start off the new year here with the January 2022 forecast. As we mentioned above, one of the best things to do in Arizona in the winter is camping and/or hiking, but of course, there are more! Support local journalism. The upcoming El-Nino phase should make problems with drought mainly in the grain and corn belt in the USA in the second half of the season in 2022 and in 2023, while the Agriculture stress index in the southern USA should be more favorable, contrary to the years 2020, 2021 and the first half of 2022. Well, until it's August. Farmers' Almanac Releases an Extreme Winter Forecast for 2022-23 Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly less than a tenth an inch /0.10"/ with localized totals up to a third of an inch /0.33"/, especially near Vail and on the northwest side of the metro area. Feb March 2023 . On top of that, conditions change so rapidly from week to week that making predictions is as good as visiting a fortune teller. NWS NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issued a La Nia Watch on Thursday for the potential re-emergence of La Nia conditions by the fall. There were six days of triple digit high temperatures which is slightly above normal. Give Light and the People Will Find Their Own Way. Last winter, Boston finished the season with. NWS The drought classification for the area degraded to D2 (Severe Drought) during May. In northern Arizona, its snowy and chilly, though usually still quite dry. 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec December The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 4.13" which ranks as the 52nd driest Summer on record. The 1981-2010 climate normal period was used from the late 2011 to early 2021. Spring ended on a streak of 63 consecutive days with no rain being recorded at the International airport. NOTE: The Winter 2022 Tier for MEMBERS and ANYONE INTERESTED is OPEN FOR JANUARY THROUGH END FEBRUARY WITH REDUCED SEASONAL TIER RATES. Copyright 2021 Scripps Media, Inc. All rights reserved. The story is much different in the Catalina and Rincon mountains where between 4" and 10" of precipitation has been recorded so far this water year. Odds are tilted toward a colder than average winter from the Northern Plains and Great Lakes to northern New England. Which City Is the Worst for Fall Allergies This Year? How do you feel about the upcoming milder, drier (especially drier than this last monsoon season, hoo boy) winter we might have? The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 2.82" which is just over eight-tenths of an inch above normal and ranks as the 34th wettest August on record. Get more stories delivered right to your email. Arizonans Beware Of Extreme Polar Temperature Swings This Winter Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, varied widely across the metro area as is usually the case during the summer thunderstorm season. Toggle navigation. Climate & Weather Averages in Arizona, Arizona, USA - Time and Date The free 12News+ app from 12News lets users stream live events including daily newscasts like "Today in AZ" and "12 News" and our daily lifestyle program, "Arizona Midday"on Roku and Amazon Fire TV. The cooling of these waters can have an atmospheric domino effect that influences weather patterns across the globe. Discover our growing collection of curated stories on Washington State. HOT TOPIC: 2021-2022 Seasonal Weather Forecast Released For Southwestern United States; Detailed Maps and Discussion Within, November 29, 2021 A first look at Winter 2022/2023 forecast shows an obvious influence of the third-year La Nina phase. Climate Prediction Center - Seasonal Outlook - National Oceanic and The zero rainfall recorded at the International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, marked the 30th time since 1895 that no measurable rain was recorded at the official site. Arizona Winter Weather Outlook This is the most of any calendar month thus far in the 21st century. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged from 0.75" to 2.50". The yearly rainfall total of 6.14" at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, ranks as the 10th driest January through November period on record. Geiger said the almanac predicts snow this winter in northern Arizona between Nov. 20 and 23, and snow in higher elevation areas would continue into early December. U.S. Winter Outlook: Warmer, drier South with ongoing La Nina So here is the breakdown If you want to fix your roof, this is the best month to do so just in-case feb/mar/apr become active again, Southern California Visit the Farmers Almanac website or Facebook page to learn more about the forecast. Winter Outlook 2022-23 Has Colder Risks For North, East Click on the images below for the year, monthly and seasonal snapshots! Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of two-thirds of an inch (0.67") is two inches below normal and ranks as the 9th driest January through May period on record. Thank you! the . NWS Tucson Arizona. December climate data across southeast Arizona, Winter climate data across southeast Arizona. Waters off New England had 2nd warmest year on record in 2022 Alaska through Central and Northern Canada to Greenland. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 48% chance that they will end up above normal and a 19% chance that they will end up below normal. Winter Weather Forecast for 2022 - 2023 | From Direct Weather It will modify the jet stream pattern over North America and the Pacific Ocean, extending its reach to the rest of the world. When Does It End? On your phone:Download the 12News app for the latest local breaking news straight to your phone. Multiple locations were found. 12News+ showcases live video throughout the day for breaking news, local news, weather and even an occasional moment of Zen showcasing breathtaking sights from across Arizona. All NOAA. CLIMAS We are already at 10 for Los Angeles, which shows we are on track here in the Desert Southwest with that number not even close to being a traditional La Nina. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded just over a half an inch /0.53"/. One month remains in climatological Winter and so far it has been warmer (55.7 or +2.3) and slightly drier (1.62" or -0.18") than normal. However, if it does rain/snow during the month, expect most of it to occur on higher risk days. Colder air and blocking weather pattern often develop when the polar vortex is weak. National Weather Service The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) forecasts enhanced probabilities for above normal temperatures for the entire year. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly below a third of an inch /0.33"/. The average Fall temperature of 71.3 is 1.0 below the 1991-2020 normal. Please Contact Us. Discover More in Washington State on Flipboard This is tied with 2008 for the lowest Spring average dating back to 1946. The average yearly temperature, through the end of September, of 74.7 is 1.1 above normal and ranks as the 6th warmest on record, tied with 2016. The seasonal average temperature of 71.0 goes into the record books as the 5th warmest Spring on record. One exception was the pandemic year of 2020, when travel all but came to a. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Includes Daily Risk of Precipitation, High/Low/Average Temperatures, Heating/Cooling Degree Days and Growing Degree Days, Transition Day Start or End of a Risky Period. Every one of them ended up being cooler than a year ago. Whether the polar vortex stays strong or weakens at some point in winter can definitely impact the forecast. The wather in Arizona in February can vary between cold and nice weather days. However, January should at least be somewhat colder than usual from parts of Washington state and northern Idaho to the northern Plains, much of the Midwest and interior Northeast into northern New England. By weather.com meteorologists October 13, 2022 At a Glance A generally colder than usual winter is expected in the northern tier of states. We are going to show you their forecast for the upcoming winter, but first, a warning. Colorado smoke coming from Arizona wildfire; temps near 100 forecast Precipitation: Equal chances use the map provided below. Padres Joe Musgrove Fractures Toe, Could it Jeapordize Opening Day One daily temperature record was set. Areas south of the storm track (much of the Southeast) will see frequent storms bringing cold rains and a wintry mix . January climate data across southeast Arizona. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly below a third of an inch (0.33") with isolated spots recording up to 1.00". Sign Up for the Morning Brief - a weekday newsletter infused with your forecast, fun facts, articles and bite-sized nuggets to energize your day. The average yearly temperature, through the end of June, of 68.5 is 1.3 above normal and ranks as the 7th warmest on record. PHOENIX (3TV/CBS 5) Look for one last, mostly sunny day before an unsettled weather pattern arrives for the next few days in Arizona.Light winds and high clouds can be expected this morning . Areas from the Gulf Coast to the Southern Plains and mountain West are most favored to see above-average temperatures for the entire three-month winter period from December through February, according to an outlook released Thursday by The Weather Company, an IBM Business, and Atmospheric G2. The temperatures in Arizona in February are comfortable with low of 11 C and and high up to 21 C.. "The eruption of Tonga back in January will likely not cool the climate, given it was an underwater volcano that ejected water vapor, rather than particulates, into the stratosphere; on the contrary, given water vapor is a greenhouse gas, it may have a warming impact on the climate over the next few years," Crawford explained. According to the Farmers Almanac winter weather forecast for Arizona, the 2022-2023 winter season will be a milder affair this year though drier than average, too. 'A nice sign': Big Rockies snowpack may boost Lake Mead This cold front brought a cooler air mass with morning lows on the 25th being in the upper 30's to mid 40's. Katie Lawrence is a Southeast Texas native who graduated 18th in her high school class with a GPA of 4.25. World; United States; Arizona; Weather in Phoenix; Weather in Phoenix in November 2022. The yearly high temperature was 111 on June 16th while the yearly low temperature was 26 on February 3rd. In a couple of words: its nice! Winter Weather Forecast For the Valley: See Daily Predictions No rain was recorded across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS. About the author Related Posts Farmers' Almanac Staff On average, the Tucson airport records two days with thunderstorms. Monsoon 2022 ended up warmer than normal with an average season temperature of 87.2 which is nine-tenths of a degree above normal. The best hidden gems and little known destinations - straight to your inbox. That is 100% free to view. Wildfires send smoke as temperatures near 100 degrees. The last March to record above normal rainfall was in 2004 when 1.12" was recorded. These drought conditions developed after a drier-than-normal 2020 monsoon season and a dry 2020/2021 winter season. It is certainly a possibility with the threat of another La Nia on the horizon. In central Arizona, its mild and fair, and sometimes rainy. La Nia is expected to be the main driver for the third winter in a row. Every year, the Farmers Almanac, which has been printed since 1818, attempts to answer that question with weather predictions based on generations of perception, experience, and common sense, according to its website. Weather Forecast Legend WeatherTAB helps you plan activities on days with the least risk of rain. Nearly 10,000 power outages were reported in Arizona Wednesday as a winter storm passed through the state, one of many places in the U.S. dealing with winter According to the Farmers' Almanac (in publication since 1818), states in . Arizona weather in January 2024 The temperatures in Arizona in January are quite cold with temperatures between 48F and 66F, warm clothes are a must. This ranks as the 11th driest water year period (October 1st to September 30th) on record. Click on the image to the right to see how 2022 compared to the historical record. During 2020,2021 and the first half of 2022 . The official start of fall is only about a month away, with the Autumn Equinox on Sept. 22. With a colder air mass in place, high temperatures were in the 50's from the 12th through 16th with daily lows in the mid 20's to mid 30's from the 13th through the 17th. The number could've been higher as there were eight days that recorded a high of 99. The atmosphere's response, which ultimately matters for our weather patterns, may resemble a winter without a La Nia. The most frigid weather will likely arrive in late January, and it could be rather brutal. But there's a potential curveball with La Nia this winter. A high minimum temperature of 75 on the 27th set a new daily record, eclipsing the old record of 73 from 1963 & 1989. Weekly sea-surface temperature anomalies in degrees Celsius from early Sept. through early Oct. 2022. Winter could pound the Northeast with a vengeance starting in mid-December before potentially intensifying in January,. Dating back to 1910, every year has had a least one daily rainfall record be broken. BOOKMARK THE MAIN WEBSITE BY CLICKING HERE. US Dept of Commerce CPC forecasts, thanks to weakening La Nia conditions in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, probabilities leaning for below normal rainfall through the Spring season then equal chances for below, near or above normal rainfall for most the remainder of the year. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.90" is just over 2" below normal and ranks as the 7th driest January through June period on record. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded only 0.81" which is around a half an inch below normal and ranks as the 53rd driest September on record, tied with 1949. This is the third February in the last four years that the average monthly temperature was below normal. Your California Privacy Rights / Privacy Policy. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 104 on the 6th and 30th to a low of 70 on the 23rd. An very odd quirk happened this November when you compare the daily highs this year versus last year. Published: Aug. 10, 2022 at 5:21 PM PDT (Gray News) - The Farmers' Almanac is predicting a frigid winter for most of us here in the U.S., along with brisk temperatures. There were nine daily lows that were 80 or warmer. Since it was a colder one than earlier in the month, snow levels at times reached down to the valley floor with some light snow occurring on the east side of the metro area. However there were isolated spots that recorded up to a three-quarters of an inch /0.75"/. Enter any city, zip or place. Rainfall occurred across the metro area over three time periods during the month. It ended being the coolest Fall since 2006. The first five months were rather dry with the airport only recording 0.67" or 2" below normal. If you're planning to visit Arizona in the near . Winter 2022-2023 should be dominated by an active storm track in the eastern half of the country, running from the western Gulf of Mexico to the northeast, across the Virginias, and across interior New York State and New England. Weather in Tucson in December 2022 (Arizona) - Detailed Weather This ranks as the 13th driest Fall on record. On the precipitation side, the forecast leaned toward below normal at a 45% chance. While the Southwest will likely escape the brunt of the onslaught of winter, we certainly arent in the clear either. Tracking NFL Coaches Fired After 2022 Season Kliff Kingsbury and Lovie Smith are the latest NFL head coaches to be fired By Max Molski Published January 9, 2023 Updated on January 9, 2023 . It begins just at the backend of Arizonas monsoon season, which officially comes to a close on Sept. 30. We start off the new year here with the January 2022 forecast. Extended Winter Weather Forecast for 2022-2023 Goes to the 'Extreme' Its the best time of year to visit if youre a fan of hiking, for example. Detailed Phoenix Weather Forecast for November 2022 - day/night temperatures, precipitations - World-Weather.info. ajgarrison - Flickr Farmers' Almanac Winter Forecast For Tennessee 2022-2023 - OnlyInYourState The Climate Prediction Center forecast for Fall 2022 called for a 46% chance of above normal temperatures and a 22% chance of below normal temperatures. Over the last 14 days there was only one day that was above normal. Climate Predictions 6-10 Days 8-14 Day Climate Probability Official 30-Day Forecast The above maps are from the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center. The silver lining is that when warmer weather finally does arrive, we'll be even more grateful for it. Looking ahead into February The Climate Prediction Center forecasts a 47% chance of above normal temperatures and a 45% chance of below normal precipitation. Additionally the airport monthly total extended the streak of below normal rainfall for March to "18" straight. According to the CPC, there is a 66% chance that La Nia conditions could last from November 2021 to January 2022. This is the least amount in a year since there was ten in 2008. Flagstaff, AZ Winter Weather Forecast | AccuWeather Check out some of our favorite places to go camping in Arizona for inspiration. What is the average temperature in Arizona in January? This is when you get these delivered to your e-mail of choosing AND get your own micro-climate alert system based on your zone for my winter and storm alert products that are not posted on social media when issued. Youll definitely want to check out some of our favorite, We say absolutely!