How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. NeSmith has 98 rounds on the PGA Tour, via FantasyNational, and in those, hes gained strokes tee to green in 50.7 percent of them, as well 62.7 percent of his rounds from approach play, the most important stat of them all. He was in the bottom 10-percentile in strokes gained/putting and was 237th of 280 players in SG/around the greens. The others are a list of studs: Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele, Dustin Johnson, Patrick Reed, Patrick Cantlay, Daniel Berger, Tyrrell Hatton and Tony Finau. Im confident that changes this week in Palm Beach. Houston Open: Sepp Straka. Visit SportsLine now to get Jim Holliman's Fantasy golf picks, all from the Fantasy expert who has been on fire with his picks, and find out. With a 16th-place finish at TPC Twin Cities and a 13th-place finish at the FedEx St. Jude Championship, its clear that he does his best work on water-logged courses that place an emphasis on keeping the ball in play off the tee and middle-iron play, and I expect him to be firmly in the mix come Sunday afternoon at PGA National. Powers: Chris Kirk The Florida Swing is when Chris Kirk eats and youd have to think this would be his best chance to finally break his win drought against a weak field. Probably not, but were all going to have to hold our nose and swallow on a few bad numbers this week. Poston in its best bets to win the 2022 John Deere. Yes, he did gain an unsustainable amount of strokes with the putter, but he did make noticeable progress off-the-tee and on approach from WMPO to the Genesis. While Scheffler was routinely priced up in the betting markets against weaker fields, the 24-year-old actually did his best work among the elites. See terms at draftkings.com/sportsbook. While he had been struggling to find form earlier in the year, the 27-year-old has proven his ball-striking upside by gaining 2.1 strokes on approach in a world-class field last week at Riviera. Fantasy Golf Picks 2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Picks, Predictions, Rankings and Sleepers, Full schedule, bracket for 2023 WAC Conference Tournament, Full tee times for Round 3 of Arnold Palmer Invitational, Fantasy Basketball Picks: Top DraftKings NBA DFS Targets, Values for March 4, 2023 NFL Combine: Tracking Zay Flowers measurements, drill times, more, Donovan Mitchell, Trae Young, Khris Middleton headline NBA injury report for Saturday, March 4, John Battaglia Memorial Stakes 2023: Post time, live stream, TV channel, horses, odds for Kentucky Derby prep race, Highlight: Hoge was the Round 1 leader after shooting 63, Highlight: Berger moved the wrong way on moving day with a 72, but was seven shots better on Sunday, The Top-11 finishers all gained Driving Distance on the field, The Top-13 finishers all gained with the putter, Highlight: Taylor was the Round 1 leader (by three strokes) after shooting a 63, The Top-10 finishers all gained with the putter (Taylor was the second best putter for the week), Highlight: Mickelson bookended the tournament with 65s and led the field in approach, The top-9 finishers all gained in Good Drives (only four gained in distance), Highlight: Potter fired a 62 on Saturday (best round of the weekend, no one else had a round better than 64), Highlight: Spieth was inside the Top 5 in Good Drives and GIRs for the week, 3 of the Top 9 finishers gained over 50 strokes of distance BUT lost fairways to the field, Highlight: Progressively got better 70-68-67-65, Taylor won despite losing almost a stroke with the putter (the other Top 15 finishers all gained with the flat stick Taylor picked up 10.2 strokes T2G, 2.8 better than anyone else), 6 players scored 105+ DK points Hoge was the only mid-tier option (3 were $7,500 or less and the other 3 were over $9,000 including the two highest priced players), 3 of the Top 4 scorers cost at least $9,700, 4 of the 5 highest priced golfers finished outside the Top 15 in DK scoring, More stars and scrubs each of the Top 6 scorers was priced under $7,500 or over $9,000, Here are the DK price rankings of the Top 3 scorers for the week. Over the past two years, Varner trails only Brooks Koepka, Justin Thomas and Rory McIlroy in the number of times his name has been on top of the leader board after 18 holes. In fact, the model is up over $9,500 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament. Pat Mayo, DraftKings/Fantasy National,Mayo Media Network analyst: Jhonattan Vegas (35-1, DraftKings) So far in 2023, Vegas has top-25 finishes at Farmers and Phoenix and made the cut at Riviera. All winners this millennium had previously made a cut at Pebble Beach in their career before winning, and most had a top 10 finish on their resume. PGA Tour one-and-done is a popular fantasy golf game, with private one-and-done leagues and public PGA Tour games. Sony Open: Matt Kuchar. After a pair of marquee, or should we say, elevated weeks on the PGA Tour, things have gotten decidedly bleak as we kick off the Florida Swing. The 24-year-old's problems have been in majors and on . Top 2023 Sony Open PGA DFS picks One of McClure's top PGA DFS picks for the 2023 Sony Open is J.T. Several of the world's top golfers come into this week's PGA Tour event in top form, and they should have little trouble scoring low in The American Express 2023. Its tough trusting Merritt on a weekly basis since he tends to lose one facet of his game every start. 2022: Tom Hoge (-19, 2 clear of Jordan Spieth), 2021: Daniel Berger (-18, 2 clear of Mav McNealy), 2020: Nick Taylor (-19, four shots clear of Kevin Streelman), 2019: Phil Mickelson (-19, three shots clear of Paul Casey), 2018: Ted Potter (-17, 3 clear of Day/Mickelson/Reavie/DJ), 2017: Jordan Spieth (-19, 4 clear of Kelly Kraft), 2016: Vaughn Taylor (-17, 1 clear of Mickelson), Mayos Key Stats powered by FantasyNational.com. Hes reeled off four straight Top 25 finishes in this event and is one of the only players in the world who seems to have the ability to be the best or worst player in any field with his irons round-to-round. WMPO: Scottie Scheffler. 2022: The winner checked in at $8,500 and scored 25.5 more DK points than anyone else, 2021: The winner checked in at $10,100 and scored 21 more DK points than anyone else, 2020: The winner checked in at $7,000 and scored 23.5 more DK points than anyone else, 2019: The winner checked in at $9,600 and scored 19.5 more DK points than anyone else, 2018: The winner checked in at $7,100 and scored 20 more DK points than anyone else. You can only see his fantasy golf rankings and Genesis Invitational picks at SportsLine. I like Adam this week for numerous reasons. Hes also not worth stashing for a bigger event down the road. Harold Varner III hasn't converted on his first PGA Tour victory yetbut you can make money betting on him in the first round. Sentry TOC: Xander Schauffele. His tee-to-green game has been elite and he supplements that with a stellar short-game. Looking at it another way, Blixt, Suh, Blair, Kuchar, William McGirt, JB Holmes, Taylor Moore, Denny McCarthy, Troy Merritt, and McNealy are the only players in this field gaining against the field in over 70% of rounds on Poa putting surfaces over that stretch. The Northern Irishman was actually down by 10 through two holes Sunday but stormed back to claim the title. Mayo: Adrian Meronk (+105) over Cameron Davis (Bet365) Meronk is legit, just unknown. Coastal winds can be a contributing factor to this, as well. Lack: Lee Hodges (50-1, DraftKings) Lee Hodges came through for me last week in a big way on DraftKings and the top-20 market, and I see no reason to hop off now that we are traveling to a course that he finished ninth at last year, gaining strokes in all four major categories. Perhaps hes close to putting it altogether at Honda, where hes finished 17th and 12th in his last two appearances. Bermuda: Denny McCarthy. Sungjae Im: His ballstriking should carry him a long way this week, but the South Korean has also been on a strong run of late. Genesis: Justin Thomas. Mayakoba: Viktor Hovland. Scheffler is the defending champion of this event, and he's finished T-12 or . CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: golf | pageType: stories | Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be rotated. But as a caddie, I can see Davis playing well for one reason. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. Thankfully at Golf Digest, we listen well. Cantlay (19-2), Scheffler (11-1) and Tony Finau (15-1) are next in line at Caesars, and all are priced at more than $10,000 by DraftKings. In the measured events on the circuit, hes been stout from tee-to-green and hasnt lost strokes putting since last summer. Being an Alabama alum, he is no stranger to golf in the south either. Void in ONT. Figuring out which PGA Tour golfer is the best in the world right now isn't easy. Honda Classic picks 2023: Is it time for another breakthrough for Aaron Wise? The 28-year-old is one of the best on the planet, but he was 143rd in strokes gained around the green last season, and his putter can be streaky. Top-10 results from the Genesis Invitational: Mayo: 1 for 1 (Max Homa +220); Gdula: 1 for 1 (Patrick Cantlay +220); Lack: 1 for 1 (Patrick Cantlay +220); Powers: 1 for 1 (Collin Morikawa +210); Caddie: 0 for 1; Gehman: 0 for 1; Hennessey: 0 for 1, Top-10 results from this season: Gdula: 7 for 16 (up 18.6 units); Gehman: 5 for 16 (up 10.55 units); Lack: 3 for 7 (up 3.9 units); Mayo: 5 for 15 (up 3.1 units); Hennessey: 3 for 16 (down 0.45 units); Powers: 2 for 16 (down 7.9 units); Caddie: 2 for 16 (down 7.95 units), RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? He has not had a top-10 in 20 events, so this is clearly the "new caddie, new spark" feeling I got here. Bermuda: Russell Knox. His recent performance backs that up, as he has four victories and seven top-five finishes in his past nine worldwide events. The PGA TOUR Experts league is once again open to the public. He also became the first international winner at of this event since Vijay Singh in 2004. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Adam Scott (+490, FanDuel) A course history play for me on Adam Scott, who finished T-4 here last year, won here in 2020 and boasts the best SG/total numbers at. About; Careers . 2022 Rocket Mortgage Classic Fantasy golf expert picks One player Gates isn't hesitating to back this week is Cantlay, who doesn't bring great value but will help you win. From Mayo: Can Bubba fix his broken putter? RELATED: Jon Rahms prescientand scaryquote. In his last seven starts on Bermudagrass, he has made every cut and is averaging a 29th-place finish.